The project “Development of Future Water Demand in Various Sectors – Assessment Methods, Projections, and Scenarios” analyses future water demand trends in Germany, considering climatic and socio-economic changes. It supports the National Water Strategy, which aims to ensure the sustainable management of water resources and prevent water use conflicts.
Research findings indicate that water demand across different sectors – particularly agriculture, industry, energy, and households – will fluctuate significantly. A notable increase in irrigation demand for agriculture is projected by mid-century. Furthermore, climate change-induced variations in water availability, such as more frequent droughts, will impact future water use patterns.
The project employs a combination of quantitative and qualitative scenarios to develop robust water demand projections. The qualitative scenario development is carried out through a co-creative process involving experts from various disciplines to identify potential development pathways and policy options. These scenarios aim to anticipate future water use conflicts and support proactive mitigation strategies.
Fresh Thoughts leads the project in collaboration with Ruhr University Bochum, the Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ), and NetPlus BV . The focus is on identifying appropriate methodologies for water demand projection, developing resilient future scenarios, and deriving policy recommendations for decision-makers.